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<h4>导言 直面内战</h4>

[1] John Lewis Gaddis, “The Long Peace: Elements of Security in the Postwar International System,” in Long Peace ,214—45; Mueller, Retreat from Doomsday; Mandelbaum, Dawn of Peace in Europe; Howard, The Invention of Peace and the Reinvention of War; Sheehan, Where Have All the Soldiers Gone?

[2] Melander, Pettersson, and Themnér, Organized Violence, 1989—2015;Ptt d Wllt eerssonanaenseen,“Armed Conflicts 1946—2014,.”

[3] Braumoeller, “Is War Disappearing?”; Newman, “Conflict Research and the‘Decline’ of Civil War”; Sarkees, “Patterns of Civil Wars in the Twentieth Century.”

[4] Ghervas, “La paix par le droit, ciment de la civilisation en Europe?”

[5] Immanuel Kant, “Toward Perpetual Peace” 1795, in Practical Philosophy,trans. Gregor, 317, 351.

[6] Goldstein, Winning the War on War; Pinker, Better Angels of Our Nature.

[7] hironaka, Neverending Wars, 4–5; Paul Collier, Lisa Chauvet, and Håvard Hagre,“The Security Chall

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